Interest rate cap will hurt rural families

Phnom Penh Post, 21 March 2017

On March 13, the National Bank of Cambodia announced a major new policy. Starting April 1, all microfinance institution operating in Cambodia will be required to lend at interest rates no higher than 18 percent per year. This is a deeply misguided regulation that will undo over a decade’s worth of successful financial policies.

At the dawn of this century, Cambodia’s financial sector was largely nonexistent. There were no ATMs, few bank branches, and equally few customers. In rural areas, there were no banks at all, and moneylenders held a monopoly on lending.

How times have changed!

Today’s village household has far greater control over its finances and is deeply connected to Cambodia’s growing economy. A farmer can borrow from a microfinance lender to buy seeds and fertiliser and set aside savings to help pay for his kids’ school fees. He can finance a solar panel to charge the phone that lets the family stay in touch with older children in the city, who themselves can send money home to the parents cheaply and reliably. None of this even requires the three-hour trip to town – a loan officer from a microfinance institution visits the village each week, while the village shopkeeper doubles as a microfinance agent who can send and receive payments. This picture is repeated in house after house, village after village, from the outskirts of Phnom Penh to the remotest corners of Cambodia. Today, in rural areas alone, half a million clients hold savings at microfinance institutions, and over a million borrow from them.

The new regulation puts all that under threat. more →

Microfinance in Mexico: beyond the brink

e-MFP, 19 Jun 2014

You know the game of musical chairs: players sit on chairs arranged in a circle. The music starts and the players start circling – dancing, running – while chairs are progressively removed.  Then the music stops and chaos erupts as the players seek to find a place to sit.

In Mexico, the number of chairs remaining is few indeed, even as the MFIs continue to dance.  The recently published study by the Microfinance CEO Working Group has shown just few chairs are left.  More →

The Day After Chiapas: Imagining a repayment crisis in Mexico

Financial Access Initiative, 27 March 2013

A month ago I wrote a post singling out the Mexican state of Chiapas as a potential site of a coming repayment crisis.  No, this is not a follow-up announcing that it has begun, nor am I rooting for one to start.  In my next post, I will review the options that the Mexican microfinance sector has to avoid it, and what the global microfinance community can do to help.  But for now, let’s dig a bit deeper into what a Chiapas crisis might mean, and why I continue to focus on Mexico, as opposed to the broader issue of excessive credit and over-indebtedness.

Let’s be blunt:  not all countries are created equal.  Some remember my warning three years ago about the danger of a credit crisis in Andhra Pradesh.  Back then I compared a possible crisis in India to the crisis in Bolivia a decade before:  “India is no Bolivia – if the bubble bursts there, the entire global microfinance sector will find itself reeling.”  Well, Mexico is no India.

A full-blown crisis in Mexico would be unlike anything we’ve seen, easily surpassing the negative impact of Andhra Pradesh. more →

Bring Microfinance into Politics

MicrofinanceFocus, 7 July 2011

It seems wherever you turn these days, politics is getting into microfinance. In Andhra Pradesh, the state government exercised its prerogative to kill off an entire industry. Next door in Bangladesh, Prime Minister Hasina decided to hound Yunus out of Grameen Bank, no matter the cost. The No Pago (No Pay) movement in Nicaragua counted on the support of the country’s president. What’s the industry to do in the face of such onslaught?

Weathering the Storm identified state intervention as one of the core risks faced by MFIs. It drew its lessons from the case of PADME in Benin, which was effectively nationalized by the government in 2008. At the time, PADME was in the process of transforming from an NGO to a for-profit entity, and the Benin government had made clear from the start that it was not in favor of such a plan. Despite this, PADME’s management and prospective investors had decided to push ahead, thinking that they would be able to parry the government’s attempts to block the process.

They were wrong. more →

Microfinance in Crisis: the Case of the Hidden City

Co-authored with Karuna Krishnaswamy; MicrofinanceFocus, 25 January 2011

Hyderabad has gone missing.  And it seems nobody has noticed the absence.  While academics and the press were scouring the villages of Andhra Pradesh in search of over-indebted borrowers and debt-induced suicides, and while politicians in the villages and government halls were busy protecting their beloved SHGs (and the vote banks they provide), Hyderabad up and vanished, leaving apparently no trace of its prior existence.

Naturally, we are referring not to the physical city, but to its microfinance market, as well as those of other cities in Andhra Pradesh.  Make no mistake – microfinance lending in urban AP has been widespread, outpacing even that of the countryside.  And yet, there seems to be little recognition of its existence and how it has been affected by the current crisis.  more →